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81.
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Stergios Xouridas 《Journal of Agricultural Economics》2015,66(1):192-220
Decision‐makers in the agricultural sector operate in a volatile and risky environment. The statistical assessment of agricultural commodity prices is necessary to deduce the stylised facts of agricultural markets and guide the action of market participants. This article examines the kurtosis values of 60 agricultural commodities and presents evidence that the distributions of their returns are fat‐tailed. We use power‐law distributions to model the tail returns and the possible time‐varying extreme event risks in commodity markets. Our results suggest that the usefulness of the value at risk and expected shortfall as risk management tools is questionable. 相似文献
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本文以山西中南部铁路通道DK597+600-汤台K12+100段双向土工格栅加固路堤边坡施工为例,具体介绍了路堤边坡土工格栅防护加固机理、施工工艺和质量控制等措施。 相似文献
85.
随着世界经济的发展,全球的能源消耗将会呈现一直持续增长的趋势,而石油作为核心的能源,是工业经济的命脉。面对这个现状提高原油采收率就变得十分重要,而三次采油技术无疑就是能够提高采收率的主要方法。以下对三次采油技术优选方法、钻修等方面进行了具体的分析和研究。 相似文献
86.
Richard S. Eckaus 《Economics of Transition》2014,22(4):727-737
A reorientation towards emphasis on consumption has become a major issue in China, raising the question of the relationship between economic growth and the composition of output. The issue is addressed here, using insights from economic growth theories. These theories indicate that concentration on capital goods production generates the most rapid overall growth. With short‐term deviations and without explicit reference to any theory, Chinese practice in the past seems to have conformed. A shift to emphasizing output of consumption goods while resulting in an overall growth slowdown, will improve consumer welfare, suggesting the benefits of shifting to this criterion of economic success. 相似文献
87.
随着油田开发的进一步深入,稠油开采难度逐渐加大,严重制约了油田的正常开发,因此急需探讨新的开采技术来解决稠油开采难题。本文阐述了液压双作用无杆采油泵技术在辽河油田的应用现状以及效果,从而为稠油开发提供了新的技术支撑。 相似文献
88.
Mogens Bladt Bo Friis Nielsen Gennady Samorodnitsky 《Scandinavian actuarial journal》2013,2013(7):573-591
In this paper, we propose a class of infinite-dimensional phase-type distributions with finitely many parameters as models for heavy tailed distributions. The class of finite-dimensional phase-type distributions is dense in the class of distributions on the positive reals and may hence approximate any such distribution. We prove that formulas from renewal theory, and with a particular attention to ruin probabilities, which are true for common phase-type distributions also hold true for the infinite-dimensional case. We provide algorithms for calculating functionals of interest such as the renewal density and the ruin probability. It might be of interest to approximate a given heavy tailed distribution of some other type by a distribution from the class of infinite-dimensional phase-type distributions and to this end we provide a calibration procedure which works for the approximation of distributions with a slowly varying tail. An example from risk theory, comparing ruin probabilities for a classical risk process with Pareto distributed claim sizes, is presented and exact known ruin probabilities for the Pareto case are compared to the ones obtained by approximating by an infinite-dimensional hyper-exponential distribution. 相似文献
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兽用抗生素和微量重金属作为饲料添加剂广泛用于畜禽养殖业,但超量使用是导致畜禽粪便中高浓度抗生素和重金属残留的根本原因。随着我国畜禽养殖业的规模化发展,畜禽粪便中残留的四环素类抗生素和重金属(铜、锌、砷)及其复合污染对生态环境和人类健康构成了巨大的潜在威胁。针对这种状况,总结了我国四环素类抗生素(包括四环素、土霉素和金霉素)和微量重金属元素(铜、锌、砷)在畜禽粪便中的残留量及其区域分布特征,并概述了这两类物质在畜禽粪便生物处理过程(堆肥和厌氧消化)中的转化、降解及其影响。畜禽粪便中残留的抗生素和重金属可导致环境中出现耐药菌与抗性基因,是环境与健康领域的又一重大挑战,其影响不容忽视。 相似文献